Calculating Catastrophe - download pdf or read online

Calculating Catastrophe has been written to provide an explanation for, to a basic readership, the underlying philosophical principles and medical ideas that govern catastrophic occasions, either traditional and man-made. wisdom of the large variety of catastrophes deepens realizing of person modes of catastrophe. This booklet can be of curiosity to an individual meaning to comprehend catastrophes greater, yet can be of specific worth to these engaged in public and company coverage, and the monetary markets.

The writer, Dr. Gordon Woo, was once informed in mathematical physics at Cambridge, MIT and Harvard, and has made his occupation as a calculator of catastrophes. His assorted event comprises consulting for IAEA at the seismic safeguard of nuclear crops and for BP on offshore oil good drilling. As a catastrophist in danger administration recommendations, he has complex the coverage modelling of catastrophes, together with designing a version for terrorism risk.

Contents:

  • Natural Hazards:
    • Causation and Association
    • Extra-Terrestrial Hazards
    • Meteorological Hazards
    • Geological Hazards
    • Geomorphic Hazards
    • Hydrological Hazards
  • Societal Hazards:
    • Political Violence
    • Infectious affliction Pandemics
    • Industrial and Transportation Accidents
    • Fraud Catastrophe
  • A experience of Scale:
    • Size Scales of ordinary Hazards
    • Hazard Spatial Scales
    • The Human catastrophe Toll
    • Models of a Fractal World
  • A degree of Uncertainty:
    • The thought of Probability
    • The which means of Uncertainty
    • Aleatory and Epistemic Uncertainty
    • Probability Ambiguity
    • The Weighing of Evidence
  • A topic of Time:
    • Temporal versions of Hazards
    • Long-Term facts Records
    • Statistics of Extremes
  • Catastrophe Complexity:
    • Emergent Catastrophes
    • Financial Crashes
    • Ancillary Hazards
  • Terrorism:
    • A pondering Man's Game
    • Defeating Terrorist Networks
    • Counter-Radicalization
  • Forecasting:
    • Earthquake Forecasting
    • Verification
    • River Flows and Sea Waves
    • Accelerating method of Criticality
    • Evidence-Based Diagnosis
  • Disaster Warning:
    • Decision within the Balance
    • Evacuation
    • The knowledge of Experts
  • Disaster Scenarios:
    • Scenario Simulation
    • Footprints and Vulnerability
    • Fermi Problems
  • Catastrophe Cover:
    • Probable greatest Loss
    • Coherent threat Measures
    • The Samaritan's Dilemma
  • Catastrophe danger Securitization:
    • Catastrophe Bonds
    • The fee of Innovation
  • Risk Horizons:
    • Ecological Catastrophe
    • Climate Change
    • War and clash Resolution

Readership: utilized mathematicians, earth and atmospheric scientists, civil engineers, geographers, economists and basic public.

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